Tuesday, December 12, 2006

The Power of Dingers in the post season...

David Gasko at the Hardball times in his recent article Lineup Balance made the following comment in the conclusion section of the article:

Teams that are reliant on home runs actually do a little better in the regular season, and a lot better in the postseason. Thus, it is always a good thing to be reliant on home runs, given a choice between two equal offenses.

Meaning, that in the regular season your team will out perform your expected runs scored when a higher percentage of your offense comes from home runs.

I'll have to do some original research to confirm it, however, I believe it to be true as Mike Emeigh has made a similar claimed for a number of years on BBTF. The more your take and read Mike, the more your learn to believe what he is telling you. His theory is that in the playoffs you want more short sequence offense, rather than long sequence offense.

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