Dan
Szymborski has posted his
Mets projections at BBTF.
Here are the outliers relative to
Chone projections:
| | | | | | | | First | Last | Chone OPS | ZIPS OPS | Difference | Abs
| | Michael | Tucker* | 0.67 | 0.732 | 0.062 | 0.062 | | Moises | Alou | 0.807 | 0.856 | 0.049 | 0.049 | | Paul | Lo Duca | 0.75 | 0.707 | -0.043 | 0.043 | | Jose | Reyes# | 0.763 | 0.802 | 0.039 | 0.039 | | Ramon | Castro | 0.724 | 0.686 | -0.038 | 0.038 | | Chris | Woodward | 0.65 | 0.62 | -0.03 | 0.03 | | Edgardo | Alfonzo | 0.686 | 0.659 | -0.027 | 0.027 | | Julio | Franco | 0.7 | 0.721 | 0.021 | 0.021 | | Anderson | Hernandez# | 0.615 | 0.594 | -0.021 | 0.021 |
|
Why is this important? Because it shrinks our sample size of players to be concerned with. For example, both
Chone and Zips project almost exactly the same results for Beltran and Wright so both think they will each be .860 and 900 OPS players
respectively. If they turn out to be .800 and .970 OPS players they both are missing the mark. By focusing on just these guys it's easier to eyeball the accuracy.
Labels: Mets, projections